Potomac Research LLC — Department of Defense SBIR Phase II: HR001120S0019-08
Potomac Research LLC — SBIR Phase II award from Department of Defense.
- Amount
- $1,499,882
- Agency
- Department of Defense · Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency
- Program / Phase
- SBIR · Phase II
- Topic
- HR001120S0019-08
- Solicitation
- HR001120S0019.I
- NAICS
- —
- Place of performance
- VA
- Period
- 2021-12-15 → 2024-03-15
Description
In order to address the DoD’s most challenging prediction and decision making problems, we present Library Augmented Reservoir Computing—LARC. LARC is a metalearning framework that vastly reduces data requirements for predicting a nonstationary time series of interest by learning the low dimensional manifold that contains Reservoir Computers (RC) trained on a library of related processes. Because the manifold is low dimensional, it can be efficiently searched for an RC that produces a time series that most closely matches a short observed signal. The identified RC can then be used as the basis of future predictions. During Phase I, we showed that LARC achieves a two orders of magnitude reduction in reconstruction error compared to state-of-the-art on a standard time series metalearning benchmark.