NUMERICA CORPORATION — Department of Defense SBIR Phase II: AF182-043
NUMERICA CORPORATION — SBIR Phase II award from Department of Defense.
Phase II SBIR prototype / development signal
- Phase II is where Department of Defense funds deeper R&D after feasibility. Incumbents with Phase II history are serious competitors on adjacent topics.
- Use this award as past-performance context and to map customer organizations for STRATFI/TACFI-style transition planning.
- Obligated amount $738,549 is consistent with substantial Phase II-scale effort; compare to related awards from the same agency.
- Topic code AF182-043 links this award to a solicitation family — search the same topic stem for incumbents and recompete timing.
- Amount
- $738,549
- Agency
- Department of Defense · Air Force
- Program / Phase
- SBIR · Phase II
- Topic
- AF182-043
- Solicitation
- 18.2
- NAICS
- —
- Place of performance
- CO
- Period
- 2021-05-18 → 2023-08-18
Description
As space emerges as a contested domain, potential hostile actions as well as denial and deception (D&D) operations compound the inherent difficulty of maintaining awareness in this data-starved environment. To maintain space situational awareness (SSA) with limited sensing resources and to help space operators assess situations and the outcomes of potential actions, Numerica has developed the Decision-aid using Event Likelihood Probabilities for Hypothesis-based Intelligence (DELPHI) software. DELPHI provides hypothesis-based intelligence and sensor orchestration to aid analysts and decision makers in operational environments and to facilitate SSA/BMC2 missions in resource-stressed scenarios. DELPHI leverages multi-INT data and multi-source sensors to drive intelligent data collection and to probe both the "most likely" events (e.g., routine maneuvers) as well as and the "most dangerous" events (e.g., threatening maneuvers). In Phase I, Numerica demonstrated DELPHI's utility with real and simulated data, successfully predicting the maneuver of a recently-launched, foreign satellite in GEO. In Phase II, Numerica will mature DELPHI to consider more complicated scenarios, to perform situation assessment and evaluate potential actions, to ingest more diverse multi-INT data, and to interact with multi-source sensors.