DANIEL H WAGNER ASSOCIATES INC — Department of Defense SBIR Phase I: HR001120S0019-08
DANIEL H WAGNER ASSOCIATES INC — SBIR Phase I award from Department of Defense.
Phase I SBIR feasibility signal
- Phase I awards fund proof-of-concept work. For capture teams, they mark early interest from Department of Defense in a technical approach.
- Watch for Phase II follow-ons from the same firm/topic family — that conversion path is where budgets and transition pressure rise.
- Obligated amount $119,992. Cross-check similar awards in the same agency and technology tags for going-rate context.
- Topic code HR001120S0019-08 links this award to a solicitation family — search the same topic stem for incumbents and recompete timing.
- Amount
- $119,992
- Agency
- Department of Defense · Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency
- Program / Phase
- SBIR · Phase I
- Topic
- HR001120S0019-08
- Solicitation
- HR001120S0019.I
- NAICS
- —
- Place of performance
- PA
- Period
- 2020-09-29 → 2021-06-28
Description
The COVID-19 emergency has brought the analysis and mathematical modeling of epidemics to the forefront. As models become more sophisticated, and more accurate at capturing disease dynamics, new techniques must be developed to bring the data together with the model to get accurate predictions of the spread of infections. Wagner Associates proposes the development of a Hamiltonian Analysis-based Prediction Service (HAPS) that is rooted in analysis of stochastic epidemic models by approximating them as a Hamiltonian system. Here, collected data about the disease is used to numerically compute solution trajectories that can be used to extrapolate future dynamics, and predict dynamic shifts. This method promises to be fast, accurate, and robust even to applications with limited available data. Additionally, solution dynamics can be analyzed based on parameter studies to generate an optimal control strategy based upon these forecasts.